Bellwether · paper · Nitro rules, $12k

Splash

refreshed 2026-10-26 23:30 UTC · auto-refresh 60s

decay rail ON - entries count against the paper bankroll

decay rail: warming up (23/30 closed markets) · today realized −$511.62 · entry window 3–6h · band 0.12–0.40

Equity

$10,925.03

−$1,074.97 (-9.0%) vs $12,000 start

Realized

−$1,124.62

18/23 settled trades won

Cash / at risk

$10,426.03

4 open, $440.39 at risk (cap $6,000)

Floor cushion

$1,426.03

stops new entries at $9,000 cash

Daily results (counted trades)

Day (UTC)	Settled	Won	P&L
2026-10-26	5	3/5	−$511.62
2026-10-25	2	1/2	−$537.05
2026-10-24	3	2/3	+$18.42
2026-10-23	5	5/5	+$144.47
2026-10-22	8	7/8	−$238.84

Category	Settled	Won	P&L	Per $
Commodities	5	5/5	+$96.27	+27.6%
Entertainment	2	1/2	−$24.16	-14.6%
Economics	16	12/16	−$1,196.73	-39.4%

Ticker	Category	Contracts	Cost	Mark	Kind	Opened (UTC)
KXYTDAILYTOPVIDEOG-26OCT26-CAS	Entertainment	281	$168.60	+$39.34	counted	2026-10-26 22:00
KXDIESELD-26OCT27-T6.355	Economics	165	$120.45	+$0.00	counted	2026-10-26 22:00
KXAAAGASDKS-26OCT27-3.9500	Economics	141	$121.26	+$4.23	counted	2026-10-26 21:59
KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT27-6.0050	Economics	47	$30.08	+$15.04	counted	2026-10-26 21:59

Time (UTC)	Kind	Ticker	Reason
2026-10-26 22:00	counted	KXYTDAILYTOPVIDEOG-26OCT26-CAS	fade YES@0.40 buy NO@0.60 x281
2026-10-26 22:00	counted	KXDIESELD-26OCT27-T6.355	fade YES@0.27 buy NO@0.73 x165 (amplified: takers buying YES)
2026-10-26 21:59	counted	KXAAAGASDKS-26OCT27-3.9500	fade YES@0.14 buy NO@0.86 x141 (book-capped from 632)
2026-10-26 21:59	counted	KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT27-6.0050	fade YES@0.36 buy NO@0.64 x47
2026-10-26 15:30	counted	KXSILVERD-26OCT2617-T54.25	fade YES@0.39 buy NO@0.61 x52 (amplified: takers buying YES)
2026-10-26 08:05	counted	KXRT-CLA-75	fade YES@0.30 buy NO@0.70 x58 (book-capped from 1236) (amplified: takers buying YES)
2026-10-26 08:05	counted	KXRT-KLA-25	fade YES@0.13 buy NO@0.87 x141 (book-capped from 668)
2026-10-25 21:59	counted	KXAAAGASDAZ-26OCT26-4.5100	fade YES@0.34 buy NO@0.66 x61
2026-10-25 21:59	counted	KXAAAGASD-26OCT26-4.2850	fade YES@0.38 buy NO@0.62 x833 (amplified: takers buying YES)
2026-10-24 22:00	counted	KXAAAGASDMN-26OCT25-4.2000	fade YES@0.28 buy NO@0.72 x271 (book-capped from 828)
2026-10-24 22:00	counted	KXAAAGASDDE-26OCT25-3.9100	fade YES@0.31 buy NO@0.69 x864
2026-10-24 00:24	counted	KXDIESELD-26OCT24-T6.335	fade YES@0.15 buy NO@0.85 x73 (amplified: takers buying YES)